What awaits Sino-US ties in Trump 2.0 era

The 2024 US presidential election result will have a significant effect on not only the US' domestic affairs but also its foreign relations.

After Joe Biden defeated Donald Trump in the 2020 presidential election, and a US-style rectification campaign was directed against Trump and his supporters, it seemed that the post-2020 US policy would continue at least through 2028. But Biden's withdrawal from the presidential race in 2024, yielding place to Vice-President Kamala Harris, was not enough to retain Democratic Party control of the presidency. Trump and his supporters convinced a majority of the American electorate that despite years of efforts to discredit him, he should be returned to office.

Trump's victory, many might think, will have a huge impact on US-China relations. But perhaps a more realistic view would suggest otherwise.